Russian-linked ships are suspected of sabotage in the Baltic Sea. Some say it may be just the beginning

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Russian-linked ships are suspected of sabotage in the Baltic Sea. Some say it may be just the beginning

Finland says it has found more than two dozen serious deficiencies aboard the impounded Eagle S, a ship that was carrying Russian oil and is accused of deliberately dragging its anchor in the Baltic Sea on Dec. 25, damaging an underwater power line and four telecommunication cables. 

On Tuesday, Finnish police said they recovered an anchor from the seabed, which was found along the route of the Eagle S. Finnish officials believe the underwater cables, which run between Finland and Estonia and are reinforced with steel and several layers of protective insulation, were torn apart by a strong external force.

The ship is owned by Caravella LLC FZ, a company based in the United Arab Emirates, and eight crew members are now under investigation. 

Suspected of being part of Russia’s “shadow fleet”, which Moscow uses to circumvent sanctions on Russian oil, the ship was seized by Finnish authorities as part of a criminal investigation. The country’s public transport agency now says the vessel is forbidden from operating again until 32 issues are fixed.

“At least it won’t sail for a long time. And that in itself is, I think, a smart move,” Edward Hunter Christie, a senior research fellow at the Finnish Institute of International Affairs, told CBC News.

A crew works near the presumed anchor of the Eagle S tanker, on the deck of HMS Belos, off Porkkalanniemi, Finland in this undated Finnish police handout image. The anchor has been recovered from the Gulf of Finland in connection with the criminal investigation conducted by the National Bureau of Investigation. The anchor is suspected to be related to the cable rupture that took place on Christmas Day, December 25, 2024.
A crew works near the presumed anchor of the Eagle S tanker, on the deck of HMS Belos, off Porkkalanniemi, Finland. The anchor has been recovered from the Gulf of Finland, and is suspected to be related to the cable rupture that took place on Dec. 25, 2024. (Reuters)

The incident involving the Eagle S is the third case of damage to critical infrastructure in the Baltic Sea in just over a month. One maritime risk expert says it points to a dangerous precedent that could have been predicted by a spike in suspicious behaviour by Russian-linked vessels in the area.

3 cases of suspected sabotage 

It is expected to take up to seven months to repair the 170-kilometre Estlink 2 power line, and electricity prices could rise over the winter in Estonia. The country has sent a patrol ship to help protect Estlink1, its other underwater power link to the Gulf of Finland.

Amid suspicious sabotage, NATO has vowed to step up its presence in the region, and the U.K. has activated a new alert system, which uses artificial intelligence to track and warn about potential maritime threats.

Finnish Border Guard's undated handout picture of the presumed anchor of the Eagle S tanker on the seabed, captured by Turva's ROV robot off Porkkalanniemi, Finland. The anchor has been recovered from the Gulf of Finland in connection with the criminal investigation conducted by the National Bureau of Investigation (NBI).
This picture released by the Finnish Border Guard shows the presumed anchor of the Eagle S tanker on the seabed off Porkkalanniemi, Finland. (Reuters)

Hunter Christie said that when he worked for NATO prior to 2020, there was discussion that underwater infrastructure could be targeted, but the talks were theoretical. 

He says Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 changed that.

“I don’t think many serious people would doubt that this was ordered by the Russian state,” said Hunter Christie. “The official declarations might be slightly more cautious. But I think behind closed doors, nobody has any doubts as to the nature of this incident.”

Moscow has said the seizure of the Eagle S is not a matter for Russia. But Alexander Kazakov, a Russian MP, told a state media program on Dec. 27 that “Russia’s goal is to liberate the Baltic Sea.”

While he didn’t specifically say Russia was behind the damage to the cables, he told the program it was a response to actions taken by Ukraine and its Western allies. 

“We are provoking them into an escalation of a situation in the Baltic Sea … so that we have something to respond to.”

Hunter Christie believes Finland’s grounding of the ship — which was flagged under the Cook Islands — sends a strong message to Russia, because it means it has one less vessel to transport its oil.

“All of a sudden, something that looked like a cheap stunt, a relatively low-cost way of inflicting a lot of damage and a lot of intimidation on the two countries, could become a much more expensive proposition.”

November incidents

Five weeks before the Christmas Day incident, two undersea fibre optic cables in the Baltic Sea were damaged.

A 218-km-long internet cable between Lithuania and Sweden’s Gotland island was damaged on Nov. 17. The following day, a 1,200-km cable connecting the Finnish capital, Helsinki, to the German port of Rostock, was severed.

At the time, suspicion centred around a Chinese bulk carrier, the Yi Peng 3, which was carrying Russian fertilizer. 

After a month-long diplomatic standoff, China allowed investigators from Germany, Sweden, Finland and Denmark to board the ship. But Swedish officials later said China didn’t heed the government’s request for a prosecutor to be able to conduct a preliminary investigation on board. 

A view of the anchor of the Chinese ship, the bulk carrier Yi Peng 3, in the sea of Kattegat, near the City of Grenaa in Jutland, Denmark, November 20, 2024. The Danish military said on Wednesday that it was staying close to Chinese bulk carrier Yi Peng 3 currently sitting idle in a strait between Denmark and Sweden, but did not mention the cable breaches or say why it was staying with the ship.
The Chinese bulk carrier Yi Peng 3 is seen in the Sea of Kattegat, near the city of Grenaa, in Jutland, Denmark, on Nov. 20, 2024. The vessel is suspected of being involved in two underwater cable breaches. (Reuters)

The Yi Peng 3, which had been anchored for weeks in the Kattegat Sea between Denmark and the west coast of Sweden, left the area and travelled to Egypt on Dec. 21. 

“I think what we’re seeing is the Russians and the Chinese are starting to use what I would call grey-zone activities,” said Ami Daniel, co-founder and CEO of Windward, a maritime intelligence firm. Windward has mapped underwater infrastructure, tracks ships and uses AI to help analyze vessel behaviour and assess risk. 

“I think we’re stepping into a whole new world of commercial shipping activity being used repetitively to hurt national infrastructure at scale multiple times around the world.”

Taiwan says it suspects a Chinese-crewed ship of damaging an underwater cable this past weekend. The director of the Hong Kong-registered company that owns the vessel told Reuters there is no evidence of that. 

‘Cat and mouse game’

Daniel says leading up to the November incidents, his company had been tracking a surge of activity in the Baltic Sea by shadow tankers that had been increasingly turning off their transmitters, obscuring their location and disappearing from radar systems. 

According to Windward, during the week of Nov. 7, 116 vessels went dark, a 44 per cent increase over what would be expected in the area. 

Daniel said the public should view what is happening as a “cat and mouse” game, where there is an incident followed by a response. 

The U.K. announced on Jan. 6 that it is activating an alert system, dubbed Nordic Warden, as part of the Joint Expeditionary Force, which is made up of 10 countries. The system will use AI to track potential threats in 22 areas, including the Baltic Sea, the North Sea and the English Channel. If there is potential threat to infrastructure, allies will be alerted. 

Ami Daniel, the London-based CEO of Windward, an AI driven intelligence agency, believes the recent incidents of suspected sabotage are unprecedented and will likely continue.
Ami Daniel, the London-based CEO of Windward, an AI-driven intelligence agency, believes the recent incidents of suspected sabotage are unprecedented and will likely continue. (Windward)

Helsinki will host a summit of Baltic Sea NATO leaders next week, but Daniel says a major complicating factor in protecting the infrastructure is that it runs through vast international waters — and it’s not entirely clear which agencies are responsible for protecting it. 

The Estonian government will apply to the International Maritime Organization by February urging it to update the maritime law, which the country says doesn’t deal with underwater damage or cover what should happen if a ship deliberately drags its anchor through critical infrastructure.

Estonia argues modernizing the law would minimize the risk of these types of cases having to wind through through international courts.

Daniel believes European countries have “been caught off guard, 100 per cent” by the incidents in the Baltic Sea. 

“I think Russia and probably China are going after the place, which is probably the hardest for the Western democracies to protect.”

Published at Wed, 08 Jan 2025 21:29:52 +0000

Canadians join the fight against Los Angeles-area wildfires

Firefighting aircraft provided by the Quebec government and a B.C.-based company are helping to battle the massive wildfires tearing through the Los Angeles area.

They include a pair of Canadian-made water-bombing planes out of Quebec, as well as Coulson Aviation helicopters that the company says are “on the frontline” of the fight.

Coulson said in a social media post that its crews are “braving high winds and challenging conditions” in the fight against the Palisades fires.

Thousands of firefighters are tackling multiple blazes that have killed at least two people and destroyed more than 1,000 structures across the Los Angeles area as of Wednesday morning, according to Los Angeles County’s fire chief.

WATCH | Residents fleeing wildfire forced to abandon vehicles: 

Wildfires stretching emergency services to ‘maximum limits,’ L.A. fire chief says

9 hours ago

Duration 0:47

Los Angeles fire chief Kristin Crowley, speaking Wednesday alongside her county counterpart, says a second major wildfire has erupted in Sylmar, a suburban area of L.A.

Images from the Pacific Palisades neighbourhood showed firefighters in front of large homes that were engulfed in flames, while residents escaped through fire, ferocious winds and clouds of smoke. At least 70,000 residents were ordered to evacuate, officials said Wednesday.

Coulson’s social media post included a screen shot showing the flight paths of three of its water-bombing helicopters swirling repeatedly over the neighbourhood.

Coulson, which is based in Port Alberni, B.C., but also operates in the U.S. and Australia, says its aircraft in the firefight include its double-rotor Chinook and the smaller Sikorsky S-76 helicopter. 

No official requests for support from Canada: officials

B.C. Minister of Forests Ravi Parmar said the province is standing by to assist California with the fires but has yet to receive a request.

“British Columbia knows all too well the devastating impacts of wildfires,” he said in a statement emailed to CBC News. 

“My thoughts are with the people of Los Angeles as they face this extremely challenging situation … and B.C. will provide support in any way we can in the days ahead.”

PHOTOS | California wildfire prompts evacuation, destroys homes: 

A spokesperson for Quebec’s Transport Department said the two Quebec government planes have been actively involved in fighting the fires since Tuesday.

The Canadian-made CL-415 firefighting planes are sent to California each fall as part of an annual contract that has existed since 1994, the department says on its website. It says the contract normally begins in September and lasts for between 90 and 180 days. 

Stéphane Caron of Quebec’s forest fire protection agency, SOPFEU, said the planes are dispatched with their own pilots, co-pilots and technicians.

Quebec Public Security Minister François Bonnardel posted a message of support on X to California Gov. Gavin Newsom, saying the province is ready to send additional firefighters to the state if they are needed.

“California is currently living through difficult times due to wildfires,” Bonnardel wrote. “The governor … can count on the government of Quebec and on SOPFEU to support him, if necessary, in this fight.”

WATCH | Crews stretched thin in wildfire fight: 

People fleeing L.A. wildfire abandon their cars to escape on foot

22 hours ago

Duration 2:00

Tens of thousands of people in the affluent Los Angeles suburb of Pacific Palisades were forced to flee a fast-moving wildfire fuelled by extremely strong winds, with some abandoning their cars to escape on foot.

The disaster prompted the NHL to postpone a home game between the Los Angeles Kings and the Calgary Flames on Wednesday. 

The Kings said in a statement that the team appreciates the hard-working first responders who are trying to contain the fires and protect the community. 

“We appreciate the league’s support in keeping our fans, staff and players safe,” the statement said. 

Published at Wed, 08 Jan 2025 18:44:57 +0000

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